Polarized America: The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches (Walras-Pareto Lectures) by Nolan McCarty & Keith T. Poole & Howard Rosenthal

Author:Nolan McCarty & Keith T. Poole & Howard Rosenthal [McCarty, Nolan]
Language: eng
Format: mobi
ISBN: 9780262528627
Publisher: The MIT Press
Published: 2016-03-03T16:00:00+00:00

Data and Methods

Our data are drawn from the November Current Population Survey (CPS) conducted by the Census Bureau. In even-numbered years, those with congressional or presidential elections, the CPS asks each respondent whether he or she is a citizen and whether he or she voted in the election held on an early Tuesday in November. The citizenship question has appeared every two years starting in 1972.11 The CPS has long been used to study voter turnout, most notably by Raymond Wolfinger and Steven Rosenstone (1980) in their classic book, Who Votes?

The CPS contains no information about voter behavior other than turnout. Its advantage is that the sample sizes are far larger than in surveys like the National Election Study. We analyze all respondents age eighteen and over who provided information about income and citizenship and who, if they are citizens, provided information about voting. Respondents with complete information on citizenship, voting, and income range from a low of 69,584 in 2000 to a high of 110,588 in 1980. Figure 4.1, taken from Bonica et al. (2013), shows the 2008 and 2010 distributions of respondents by citizenship and voting for each income category. The figure illustrates the strong relationship between income and voting. Bonica et al. (2013) report:

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