The Art of Thinking Clearly-Better Thinking, Better Decisions by Rolf Dobelli

Author:Rolf Dobelli
Language: eng
Format: mobi
Tags: Non-Fiction, Self Help, Psychology
ISBN: 9781444759556
Publisher: Sceptre
Published: 2013-01-02T00:00:00+00:00

Document Outline

Dedication

Title Page

Imprint Page

Contents

Introduction

1 WHY YOU SHOULD VISIT CEMETERIES: Survivorship Bias

2 DOES HARVARD MAKE YOU SMARTER?: Swimmer’s Body Illusion

3 WHY YOU SEE SHAPES IN THE CLOUDS: Clustering Illusion

4 IF 50 MILLION PEOPLE SAY SOMETHING FOOLISH, IT IS STILL FOOLISH: Social Proof

5 WHY YOU SHOULD FORGET THE PAST: Sunk Cost Fallacy

6 DON’T ACCEPT FREE DRINKS: Reciprocity

7 BEWARE THE ‘SPECIAL CASE’: Confirmation Bias (Part 1)

8 MURDER YOUR DARLINGS: Confirmation Bias (Part 2)

9 DON’T BOW TO AUTHORITY: Authority Bias

10 LEAVE YOUR SUPERMODEL FRIENDS AT HOME: Contrast Effect

11 WHY WE PREFER A WRONG MAP TO NO MAP AT ALL: Availability Bias

12 WHY ‘NO PAIN, NO GAIN’ SHOULD SET ALARM BELLS RINGING: The It’ll-Get-Worse-Before-It-Gets-Better Fallacy

13 EVEN TRUE STORIES ARE FAIRYTALES: Story Bias

14 WHY YOU SHOULD KEEP A DIARY: Hindsight Bias

15 WHY YOU SYSTEMATICALLY OVERESTIMATE YOUR KNOWLEDGE AND ABILITIES: Overconfidence Effect

16 DON’T TAKE NEWS ANCHORS SERIOUSLY: Chauffeur Knowledge

17 YOU CONTROL LESS THAN YOU THINK: Illusion of Control

18 NEVER PAY YOUR LAWYER BY THE HOUR: Incentive Super-Response Tendency

19 THE DUBIOUS EFFICACY OF DOCTORS, CONSULTANTS AND PSYCHOTHERAPISTS: Regression to Mean

20 NEVER JUDGE A DECISION BY ITS OUTCOME: Outcome Bias

21 LESS IS MORE: The Paradox of Choice

22 YOU LIKE ME, YOU REALLY REALLY LIKE ME: Liking Bias

23 DON’T CLING TO THINGS: Endowment Effect

24 THE INEVITABILITY OF UNLIKELY Events: Coincidence

25 THE CALAMITY OF CONFORMITY: Groupthink

26 WHY YOU’LL SOON BE PLAYING MEGATRILLIONS: Neglect of Probability

27 WHY THE LAST COOKIE IN THE JAR MAKES YOUR MOUTH WATER: Scarcity Error

28 WHEN YOU HEAR HOOFBEATS, DON’T EXPECT A ZEBRA: Base-Rate Neglect

29 WHY THE ‘BALANCING FORCE OF THE UNIVERSE’ IS BALONEY: Gambler’s Fallacy

30 WHY THE WHEEL OF FORTUNE MAKES OUR HEADS SPIN: The Anchor

31 HOW TO RELIEVE PEOPLE OF THEIR MILLIONS: Induction

32 WHY EVIL STRIKES HARDER THAN GOOD: Loss Aversion

33 WHY TEAMS ARE LAZY: Social Loafing

34 STUMPED BY A SHEET OF PAPER: Exponential Growth

35 CURB YOUR ENTHUSIASM: Winner’s Curse

36 NEVER ASK A WRITER IF THE NOVEL IS AUTOBIOGRAPHICAL: Fundamental Attribution Error

37 WHY YOU SHOULDN’T BELIEVE IN THE STORK: False Causality

38 EVERYONE IS BEAUTIFUL AT THE TOP: Halo Effect

39 CONGRATULATIONS! YOU’VE WON RUSSIAN ROULETTE: Alternative Paths

40 FALSE PROPHETS: Forecast Illusion

41 THE DECEPTION OF SPECIFIC CASES: Conjunction Fallacy

42 IT’S NOT WHAT YOU SAY, BUT HOW YOU SAY IT: Framing

43 WHY WATCHING AND WAITING IS TORTURE: Action Bias

44 WHY YOU ARE EITHER THE SOLUTION – OR THE PROBLEM: Omission Bias

45 DON’T BLAME ME: Self-Serving Bias

46 BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR: Hedonic Treadmill

47 DO NOT MARVEL AT YOUR EXISTENCE: Self-Selection Bias

48 WHY EXPERIENCE CAN DAMAGE OUR JUDGEMENT: Association Bias

49 BE WARY WHEN THINGS GET OFF TO A GREAT START: Beginner’s Luck

50 SWEET LITTLE LIES: Cognitive Dissonance

51 LIVE EACH DAY AS IF IT WERE YOUR LAST – BUT ONLY ON SUNDAYS: Hyperbolic Discounting

52 ANY LAME EXCUSE: ‘Because’ Justification

53 DECIDE BETTER – DECIDE LESS: Decision Fatigue

54 WOULD YOU WEAR HITLER’S SWEATER?: Contagion Bias

55 WHY THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS AN AVERAGE WAR: The Problem with Averages

56 HOW BONUSES DESTROY MOTIVATION: Motivation Crowding

57 IF YOU HAVE NOTHING TO SAY, SAY NOTHING: Twaddle Tendency

58 HOW TO INCREASE THE AVERAGE IQ OF

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