Hidden Debt: Solutions to Avert the Next Financial Crisis in South Asia by Martin Melecky
Author:Martin Melecky
Language: eng
Format: epub
To estimate the adjustment size for each of these five categories for distressed SOCBs relative to private banks, we regress each variable in categories 1â5 on the distress dummy, the interaction of the distress dummy with the SOCB dummy, and control variablesâincluding bank and time fixed effects (see appendix 3A for a detailed description of the estimation methodology).
Overall Results, with a Focus on India
Our estimation results, summarized in figure 2.9, suggest that compared with distressed PVTBs (the control group), distressed SOCBs tend to adjust to distress by increasing capital relatively more than distressed PVTBs (see tables 2B.4 and 2B.5, in annex 2B, for detailed results). This finding could reflect the governmentâs efforts to promptly recapitalize at least systemically important public banksâmost notably, Indiaâs SBI. It can also reflect the softer budget constraints that SOCBs as a group enjoy compared with private banks. These softer budget constraints can then increase moral hazard among SOCBs and distort their incentives to properly manage credit and other risk taking, as well as act in a timely manner to restore their performance when it declines.
FIGURE 2.9 Differences in How State-Owned Commercial Banks and Domestically Owned Private Banks Adjust in Times of Distress
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