Chill, A Reassessment of Global Warming Theory: Does Climate Change Mean the World is Cooling, and If So What Should We Do About It? by Peter Taylor

Author:Peter Taylor [Taylor, Peter]
Language: eng
Format: epub
Tags: Education
Publisher: Clairview Books
Published: 0101-01-01T00:00:00+00:00

Radiative forcing and imaginary equilibrium

On closer examination, the supposedly scientific ‘radiative forcing’ factors or RFs are derived not from observation, but from atmospheric models that build in the equilibrium state. By definition, a radiative forcing is something external to the equilibrium state that forces that state out of its equilibrium. It can readily be shown that IPCC relies entirely upon this method to attribute global warming to carbon dioxide as a principle cause. It is important to hold in mind that this forcing effect upon surface temperatures is computed and is formulated in this way as a necessary input to the models with which future temperature increases will be predicted. Thus, these are not real-world data and it ought to be clear that they cannot be used as evidence to confirm the global warming hypothesis. The very most that can be said is that they may provide some basis for prediction. We shall assess this claim in the next chapter, after we have considered evidence that contradicts the model’s expectations.

We may summarize the IPCC’s conclusions from its attribution studies using models:

Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations. This is an advance since the TAR’s conclusion that ‘most of the observed warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations’. Discernible human influences now extend to other aspects of climate, including ocean warming, continental-average temperatures, temperature extremes and wind patterns.

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