Disaster Risk Management and Country Partnership Strategies by Asian Development Bank;

Author:Asian Development Bank;
Language: eng
Format: epub
Publisher: Asian Development Bank Institute
Published: 2018-08-15T00:00:00+00:00

B. Inclusive and Sustainable Growth Assessment

In medium- and high-risk DMCs, the potential impact of natural hazards on development may justify the integration of disaster risk concerns into the inclusive and sustainable growth assessment for the next CPS. This would require an understanding of the root causes of disasters and their impact on the patterns and pace of socioeconomic development in general and a government’s development priorities and prospects in particular, drawing on relevant knowledge products as discussed in section 2. It would also require appreciation of the potential consequences of particular development priorities, policies, and practice in either exacerbating or reducing disaster risk.

Findings of the completed DRM assessment that may be particularly relevant to the inclusive and sustainable growth assessment include those pertaining to:

•impact of past and potential future disasters on macroeconomic performance and indicators, e.g., on GDP, sector GDP, infrastructure development, government expenditure and revenue, trade, external debt, and inflation;

•impact of past and potential future disasters on the poor, preferably gender-disaggregated;

•impact of past and potential future disasters on the achievement of the SDGs;

•DRM capacity, including with regard to the management of residual risk and related fiscal impact, which in turn will influence the speed of postdisaster recovery, and depth and nature of the indirect consequences of direct physical damage; and

•extent of importance and nature of focus accorded to DRM in national development priorities.

Analysis of the potential development challenges posed by disaster risk—such as volatile GDP performance, lower long-term growth trajectories, fiscal instability, and slower progress in poverty reduction and achievement of the SDGs—will require information on past and potential future disaster impacts on sector performance, assets, and communities, as well as information on the costs of response and recovery. Disaster risk may be acknowledged more directly in the inclusive and sustainable growth assessment as an environmental issue where relevant as well, also taking into account consequences of climate change and environmental degradation for the frequency and intensity of future natural hazard events.

Other relevant studies that have been conducted by the government or by other development partners in support of government DRM plans and strategies can be drawn on to inform the inclusive and sustainable growth assessment if ADB has not yet engaged in a DRM assessment. ADB’s Sustainable Development and Climate Change Department is building up a set of country reviews based on secondary material as a starting point for country teams, as already noted. These reviews provide an overview of a country’s disaster profile, the impact of past disasters, the institutional setup, and existing DRM capacity. They list both national and international partners in DRM and identify additional sources of information.

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