Continuous Digital: An agile alternative to projects for digital business by Allan Kelly

Author:Allan Kelly [Kelly, Allan]
Language: eng
Format: azw3
Publisher: Software Strategy Ltd.
Published: 2018-10-03T16:00:00+00:00

Moore’s Law

Moore’s Law is the observation that the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit doubles approximately every two years. The observation is named after Gordon Moore, the co-founder of Fairchild Semiconductor and Intel. Wikipedia22

Those working in technology are well aware of the power of Moore’s Law and the force it creates, not just for technological change, but for organizational and global change. However the true magnitude of the change still escapes many.

Consider a ten-year cycle of Moore’s Law, which would include at least five doublings of CPU power. The final doubling, in years eight and nine, will deliver a greater increase in power than the sum of the previous eight years of increases (four doublings).

CPU power doubles every two years The fifth doubling in year eight produces 16 times more power than was available in year one. The previous eight years increased power by 15 times (8+4+2+1). In the next year, year ten, processor power will double again.

Increasing CPU power in its raw form makes machines run faster, so processor-intensive activities complete faster. More importantly, it allows more advanced tools to be used. Consider how many tools now work with human-readable text files (for example XML): such luxury was unimaginable when I began coding on Z80 and 6502 microprocessors.

With increasing CPU power the range of problems that humans can address with machines increases. Similarly, the opportunity to redesign businesses and business processes increases at an accelerating pace.

The technological advances unleashed by Moore’s Law create forces with the power to change organizations, companies and the global economy. Look at the changes to the global economy produced by Google alone between 2000 and 2010.

What plan could possibly keep pace?

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