Sports Betting For Dummies by Swain Scheps

Author:Swain Scheps
Language: eng
Format: epub
ISBN: 9781119654421
Publisher: Wiley
Published: 2020-03-04T00:00:00+00:00

Here's the result:

If these four conditions are met, there is a 100 percent chance that your birthday is January 1.

Hopefully you see the problem. When you look at a set of data, it's tempting and not all that difficult to invent a pattern that correlates perfectly but has no causal connection and no predictive value.

So when you sort through historical data, your goal is to find statistics and conditions that are highly correlated with a result you cold bet on before the game starts. But a parallel goal is to identify setups that have some kind of logical connection to the outcome, where causality is at least plausible.

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