Secrets of Winning Baccarat by Brian Kayser

Author:Brian Kayser [Kayser, Brian]
Language: eng
Format: epub
Tags: ebook, book
Publisher: Cardoza Publishing
Published: 2012-02-26T06:00:00+00:00

In the above example, there were fourteen runs of length two and four longer runs. We expect to see that ratio less than 26% of the time, since 14:4 is a little less than 3 to 1 in favor of runs of two. That’s what we’re looking for, since a 3:1 ratio means we have about 75% of one to 25% of the other. When the ratio goes to 5:1, we’re at the 86% point. At 6:1, we’re at the 92% level (anything there and above you can consider as in the 90%+ range, making it easy to remember).

Look what happens, though, if we’ve seen only nine runs. We still expect half to be runs of two, but in this case we also have greater variability around the 50% point. Instead of a 5:1 ratio to get us to the 86% point, now the ratio is 8:1. This means we’d better be cautious about using the ratio as a guideline when we have a small total number of runs.

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