Understanding Sabermetrics by unknow

Understanding Sabermetrics by unknow

Author:unknow
Language: eng
Format: epub
Publisher: McFarland Publishing - A
Published: 2007-12-04T07:00:00+00:00


Expanded out, and factoring out the 9, yields

which seems to weight the individual’s numbers as one-ninth of a team’s offense. The other coefficients are unexplained, except that possibly they were arrived at via trial and error using norms throughout baseball history.

In any case, Schmidt’s numbers for HDG23 were A = 246, B = 325.48, and C = 657, so

a value that is about 1 run lower than his BRC estimate. Using these coefficients, Keith Hernandez’s runs estimate drops to 97.7.

The formula used for both leagues since 1988 is HDG24. It is slightly different from HDG23, and includes adjustments for home runs with men on base and for hitting with men in scoring position.



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