BLAIR’S BRITAIN, 1997–2007 by ANTHONY SELDON (edt)
Author:ANTHONY SELDON (edt)
Language: en-us
Format: mobi
Published: 2010-09-02T13:05:18.817000+00:00
PROJECTED
36
96–97
01–02
06–07
Figure 20.3. They spent the money. . . . .
In the heady dawn of 1997, few among the public expected Labour
would follow Conservative spending plans for the first few years, with real
rises in expenditure only starting well into their first term in office.
Secondly, overall judgements about public attitudes to Tony Blair have
to be made in response to a world which, in his own words, fundamentally changed in his second term. When one looks at the issues the British
public say concern them, he was right. Concern about immigration/race
relations increased twelve fold from 3% (June 1997) to 36% (April 2007)
as asylum and migrant numbers rose dramatically at the end of the twentieth century. With 9/11 and the subsequent wars in Afghanistan and
Iraq, followed by Britain’s own home-grown 7th July bombings, concern
about defence/foreign affairs increased from only 2% to 27% of the
public citing it as the key issue facing Britain over the same time period,
with huge spikes in concern at the time of key events.
This combination of security issues in the broadest sense, Blair’s relationship with the US ‘war on terror’ and his personal relationship with
George Bush will colour judgements about his performance – and until
there is a settled view about the outcome of Iraq, it is unlikely there will be
one on Blair either (Figure 20.4).
It is also worth reflecting on those concerns that effectively vanished
under Tony Blair. One of the reasons that Labour achieved a historic third
term, was because the ‘issue’ that had dominated British politics in the
previous two decades – the economy – was vanquished as a concern.
During Blair’s time as Prime Minister, concern about unemployment
dropped from 39% (June 1997) to 8% (April 2007) (Figure 20.5).
Q What do you see as the main/other important issues facing Britain today?
80
NHS
70
60
Defence
Race
relations/
50
immigration
40
30
20
Crime/ Law &
Education
10
Order
0
May
May
May
May
May
May
May
May
May
May
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Figure 20.4. Rise of security
Base: c. 2,000, adults aged 18ϩ per month
%
100
90
80
70
Unemployment
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
n-9
n-9
n-9
n-9
n-9
n-9
n-9
n-9
n-9
n-9
n-0
n-0
n-0
n-0
n-0
n-0
n-0
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Figure 20.5. Falling concern about unemployment
Source: Ipsos MORI political aggregates. Base: c. 2,000 adults aged 18ϩ per month
It was the relatively successful management of the economy that
allowed public service investment, and created an implicit, if not
acknowledged, feel-good factor. Blair got little credit for the ongoing
removal of the one issue that had kept the British public awake at night in
the early 1990s. At the time of his departure from office, 60% of people
thought Britain was getting worse as a place to live – the comparative
figure under Thatcher in 1988 was only 40%. Nevertheless when one
compared how the British felt about their own personal circumstances in
Q: Which three of the following eleven topics do you find the
most worrying in your country? – Unemployment and jobs
Actual
% Most cause for concern
rates
Germany
71%
8.9%
Italy
59%
7.7%
France
54%
9.1%
Spain
45%
8.7%
The US
23%
4.7%
Great Britain
11%
4.9%
G average
37%
Figure 20.6. Most worrying issues nationally – Unemployment and jobs
Ipsos MORI G6 study – 1000 interviews by telephone May 2006
2006, they were markedly more positive than their European neighbours
and other major economies (64% said they were confident about their
own prospects in 2006, compared to only 36% in France and 54% in
Germany) and personal concern about unemployment was dramatically
lower than elsewhere (Figure 20.6).
However, the Blair boom was not equally shared
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