epub, mobi |eng | | Author:Joel Best

LOOK FOR Surprisingly large or small percentages EXAMPLE: NEVER-MARRIED TWENTYSOMETHINGS A newspaper story begins: “Almost three-quarters of men and almost two-thirds of women in their 20s in 2006 said they ...

epub | | 0101-01-01 | Author:Denscombe

Key point Positivism is an approach to social research that seeks to apply the natural science model of research to investigations of social phenomena and explanations of the social world. ...

epub |eng | 2013-06-18 | Author:Lomax, Richard G. & Hahs-Vaughn, Debbie L. [Lomax, Richard G.]

Interpreting the output: Annotated results from the Tukey HSD procedure, as one example MCP, are shown in Table 12.2. Note that CIs around a mean difference of 0 are given ...

epub |eng | 2008-08-18 | Author:Hand, David J.

Understanding probability So that we can discuss matters of uncertainty and unpredictability without ambiguity, statistics, like any other scientific discipline, uses a precise language: the language of probability. If this ...

epub, mobi |eng | 2014-04-17 | Author:Gigerenzer, Gerd [Gigerenzer, Gerd]

Prenatal Screening Imagine you are thirty-five and pregnant. In many countries doctors advise all women thirty-five and over to attend screening for Down syndrome. Down syndrome, or trisomy 21, is ...

mobi, epub |eng | 2014-02-11 | Author:Hand, David J. [Hand, David J.]

Selection Bias in Science The law of selection manifests itself in science in what is called “selection bias,” which I mentioned in chapter 2. For example, in the late eighteenth ...

epub |eng | 2013-03-25 | Author:Michael Blastland

For calculating MicroMorts, the best data come from the US National Transportation Safety Board statistics on planes carrying at least 10 passengers.20 Looking at the ten years from 2002 to ...

epub |rus | 1993-10-16 | Author:Huff, Darrell & Irving Geis [Huff, Darrell]

You have achieved something remarkable by careful use of a semiattached figure. The worse things get, the better your poll makes them look. Or take this one: “27 per cent ...

epub |eng | 2012-09-16 | Author:Bensoussan, Babette E. & Fleisher, Craig S. [Bensoussan, Babette E.]

Issues Distance Approach One approach is to look at issues based on the distance between the organization and the issues under consideration. Issues would then be placed into three broad ...

epub | | 2006-03-25 | Author:Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nine • IT IS EASIER TO BUY AND SELL THAN FRY AN EGG Some technical extensions of the survivorship bias. On the distribution of “coincidences” in life. It is preferable ...

epub |eng | 2013-03-25 | Author:Lorenzo Fioramonti

CHAPTER 4 Change from below I don’t believe that the solutions in society will come from the left or the right or the north or the south. … This is ...

mobi, epub |eng | 2012-09-04 | Author:Nate Silver

The other 94 percent of the time, the Lawyer starts out with a worse hand than ours. The problem is that there are five cards still left to come, and ...

mobi |eng | 2008-10-05 | Author:Taleb, Nassim Nicholas [Taleb, Nassim Nicholas]

Too Much Work Marc’s body became progressively flabbier, and his bespoke suits needed periodic visits to the tailor, in spite of his occasional crash diets. After he got over the ...

mobi, epub |eng | 2008-01-15 | Author:Tim Harford

SCHELLING’S CHESSBOARD MODEL suggests that transformations such as Fifteenth Street’s should be impossible: Things always fall apart, people always give in to their prejudices, and small anxieties lead to big ...

mobi, epub |eng | 2010-11-15 | Author:Kaiser Fung [Fung, Kaiser]

Some dismiss false negatives as victimless errors. Not true. As Michael Johnson, the superlative sprinter with the golden Nike spikes, wrote, “the athletes who finished behind [the winner who cheated] ...