Theories and Simulations of Complex Social Systems by Vahid Dabbaghian & Vijay Kumar Mago

Author:Vahid Dabbaghian & Vijay Kumar Mago
Language: eng
Format: epub
Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, Berlin, Heidelberg

extends over all infectious persons that co-occupied the room with individual . For events that occur randomly in time, the number of occurrences in a period of time of length obeys a Poisson probability law with parameter.

Thus, the probability of no occurrences in time interval is

and the probability of at least one occurrence is

Using the mean duration of contacts between a susceptible person and infectious person , we assume that the probability that susceptible individual gets infected during an activity is computed as:

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